scope:

INTRODUCTION

The ICAO Africa-Indian Ocean Traffic Forecasting Group (AFI TFG) was set up in 1998 with the objective of developing traffic forecasts and other planning parameters in support of the planning of air navigation services in the AFI region. It has so far held five meetings in 1998, 2001, 2003, 2006 and 2009.

This report provides forecasts prepared by the fifth meeting of the AFI TFG held in Nairobi, from 19 to 23 October 2009. The forecasts were developed on the basis of major route groups (region-pairs) using econometric modelling. They were then converted into aircraft movements and expanded to the city-pair level.